Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Clinton Calculation

How can the media still not get it. Bill Clinton's South Carolina behavior was not an accident and more importantly, did not backfire. Clinton succeeded in making South Carolina about race, which provided the Clinton campaign an "excuse" for a primary they knew they would lose. 

Furthermore, while there has been fallout, it's mostly focused among pundits and politicians and if the Clintons succeed in making the remaining primaries about race, the math indicates they'll come out ahead. This was certainly the goal of the Bill Clinton's "Jesse Jackson" comment. He wanted white voters to think that Obama is the black candidate only running for the nomination of "black America" and therefore wouldn't represent "white America" of he won. 

This is identity politics at its worst. Personally, I think this is reprehensible. It also says a lot about what the Clintons will do to win and sheds new light on some of the dislike Republicans have had for the Clintons over the last 16 years. 

Regardless, despite the opinion of some columnists that is based more on "h the facts, Hillary Clinton will win the Democratic nomination. Sen. Kennedy's endorsement was just a slap in the face, not a game changer at all. Clinton still has double digit leads in the polls in California, New York, and New Jersey. 

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